Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.162556 0.185855 0.212155 0.244206 0.282435 0.326850 0.382760
2025-07-06 0.124327 0.154027 0.191105 0.241500 0.309307 0.399008 0.529451
2025-07-13 0.104246 0.136962 0.180995 0.246102 0.342607 0.484944 0.719994
2025-07-20 0.091023 0.125215 0.174060 0.251426 0.375842 0.577634 0.951872
2025-07-27 0.081268 0.116103 0.168398 0.256229 0.407920 0.675987 1.230503
2025-08-03 0.074151 0.109482 0.164886 0.262970 0.443851 0.790548 1.589085
2025-08-10 0.067579 0.102593 0.159583 0.265189 0.471608 0.897632 1.983855
2025-08-17 0.061916 0.096317 0.154182 0.265904 0.496219 1.005740 2.439840
2025-08-24 0.056803 0.090268 0.148214 0.264264 0.515366 1.107912 2.942145
2025-08-31 0.052110 0.084365 0.141655 0.260191 0.528131 1.199222 3.473882
2025-09-07 0.049387 0.081594 0.140415 0.266598 0.566232 1.370029 4.406084
2025-09-14 0.045658 0.076600 0.134322 0.261644 0.575863 1.466294 5.144697
2025-09-21 0.043078 0.073524 0.131698 0.264151 0.605917 1.639110 6.400556
2025-09-28 0.040177 0.069572 0.126882 0.260951 0.620483 1.771332 7.634562
2025-10-05 0.038350 0.067499 0.125646 0.265957 0.659462 2.007471 9.779986
2025-10-12 0.036760 0.065728 0.124814 0.271802 0.702872 2.285517 12.700319
2025-10-19 0.035260 0.063986 0.123826 0.277086 0.746471 2.592591 16.532808
2025-10-26 0.034038 0.062692 0.123661 0.284510 0.799708 2.979150 22.158130
2025-11-02 0.032561 0.060732 0.121767 0.286955 0.837176 3.321552 28.572094
2025-11-09 0.031096 0.058672 0.119415 0.287742 0.869377 3.664804 36.508665
2025-11-16 0.029591 0.056400 0.116329 0.285935 0.891728 3.975640 45.658431
2025-11-23 0.028050 0.053932 0.112531 0.281447 0.902651 4.232659 55.576529
2025-11-30 0.027270 0.053077 0.112554 0.288507 0.963155 4.862896 78.538469